Today's Predictions

Poisson-based probabilities & derived betting insights.

Lecce vs Napoli 1.61 19
Home xG 0.7 • Away xG 1.7
AH
Away -0.5 (expected diff -1.00)
Over 2.5
42.84%
BTTS Yes
41.05%
Draw
23.54%
Home Over 1.5
15.55%
Away Over 1.5
50.49%
Top 2 Correct Scores
  • 0-1 → 15.42%
  • 0-2 → 13.11%
First Goal Probabilities
Home: 26.52% • Away: 64.41% • No goal: 9.07%
Match details
Lecce vs Napoli 1.61
Home xG 0.7 • Away xG 1.7
AH
Away -0.5 (expected diff -1.00)
Over 2.5
42.84%
BTTS Yes
41.05%
Draw
23.54%
Home Over 1.5
15.55%
Away Over 1.5
50.49%
Top 2 Correct Scores
  • 0-1 → 15.42%
  • 0-2 → 13.11%
First Goal Probabilities
Home: 26.52% • Away: 64.41% • No goal: 9.07%
Match details
Atalanta vs Milan 2.71
Home xG 1.5 • Away xG 1.2
AH
No strong AH (expected diff 0.30)
Over 2.5
50.52%
BTTS Yes
54.2%
Draw
25.48%
Home Over 1.5
44.11%
Away Over 1.5
33.68%
Top 2 Correct Scores
  • 1-1 → 12.1%
  • 1-0 → 10.08%
First Goal Probabilities
Home: 51.82% • Away: 41.46% • No goal: 6.72%
Match details
Minnesota Utd vs Seattle Sounders 1.37
Home xG 1.3 • Away xG 1.4
AH
No strong AH (expected diff -0.10)
Over 2.5
50.53%
BTTS Yes
54.73%
Draw
25.78%
Home Over 1.5
37.25%
Away Over 1.5
40.74%
Top 2 Correct Scores
  • 1-1 → 12.23%
  • 0-1 → 9.41%
First Goal Probabilities
Home: 44.91% • Away: 48.37% • No goal: 6.72%
Match details
Charlotte vs New York City 2.53
Home xG 1.4 • Away xG 1.4
AH
No strong AH (expected diff 0.00)
Over 2.5
52.93%
BTTS Yes
56.67%
Draw
25.28%
Home Over 1.5
40.73%
Away Over 1.5
40.73%
Top 2 Correct Scores
  • 1-1 → 11.92%
  • 0-1 → 8.51%
First Goal Probabilities
Home: 46.96% • Away: 46.96% • No goal: 6.08%
Match details